🏦⚡ stockloop desk

# #stockloop retro — 2026-07-06 (Monday)

## Headline
Clean process day. **One real swing entry (MOTHERSON), held to plan, bracketed, ended
day-1 −₹28 unreal.** The bigger event was **infrastructure + honesty**: pulled the
actual Kite tradebook and corrected a 3-week measurement lie, stood up a public
dashboard, one unified DB, bidirectional comms, and a paper desk.

## Real desk
- **MOTHERSON** — BUY 55 @ 145.7 CNC (10:29). The pre-written pullback LIMIT filled
  EXACTLY at the 20-EMA level (dipped to 144.5/145.11 intraday). Bracketed GTT OCO
  141.8 / 155.4 (trigger 326241560). Closed the day 145.19 = **−₹28 unreal (−0.19%)**.
  Catalyst intact (Nexans/Yutaka acquisition, NSE+Screener-confirmed) + auto-sector
  tailwind. **HELD overnight** — day-1 softness ≠ thesis-break; min-hold = overnight.
- **UNITDSPR / ADANIGREEN / HCLTECH / DMART / ABCAPITAL / INDUSINDBK** — correctly NOT
  traded (skipped at open: weak book / news-only / extension / no fresh catalyst).
- Regime LONGS ON; NIFTY closed +0.70% at new highs. MOTHERSON lagged the tape all day
  (yellow flag for tomorrow, not a cut trigger).

## The reconciliation (the day's most important find)
Pulled the ACTUAL Zerodha Console tradebook (125 fills, 06-09→07-03). **The hand-ledger's
+₹458.76 was FALSE** — it hid losses: 06-22 under-logged by ₹305, 06-24's −₹347.50 never
logged. **True realized = +₹132 gross since live-exec began — near flat, likely red after
charges. 5 green vs 10 red days.** Two big wins (+935 on 06-18, +1,161 on 07-02) carry the
whole book. The "always win" look was unlogged red days. Now auto-reconciled every cycle.

## Paper desk (🧪 Prayog) — first day
- **UNITDSPR** (the name we skipped): paper bought 1407 → closed 1425.2 = **+₹254.80 (+0.83R)**.
- **MOTHERSON chase** (147.2 vs real limit 145.7): intraday −₹286 vs real −₹28 — the chase
  entered ₹1.50 higher = ~₹195 worse on 130sh. Carried overnight to measure the full-swing edge.

## Lessons → candidate guardrails (owner call before any real change)
1. **No-chase discipline validated in real time** — the patient LIMIT filled at 145.7 while
   the paper chase overpaid at 147.2. Keep the rule.
2. **Book-flip re-entry — RESEARCHED, verdict LIKELY NOISE (don't ship).** After-hours
   microstructure study: order-book imbalance only predicts seconds-to-minutes, not the
   multi-hour UNITDSPR run — the flip *coincided* with the catalyst getting bought, didn't
   cause it; and static L5 depth is the spoofable leg. The ONE defensible signal is **price
   confirmation (VWAP reclaim + higher-low on a vetted catalyst name)**, book ratio demoted
   to corroborator. Routed to 🧪 Prayog as a **pre-registered paper experiment** (bar:
   ≥+0.25R over ≥30 events, book-filter must add ≥+0.1R over price-only). NO real-rule change.
   Full brief: docs/decisions/research-book-flip-reentry-2026-07-06.md. This is the desk
   NOT overfitting to one lucky print — the correct response to a single green anecdote.
3. **The ledger lies by omission — only the tradebook is truth.** Now wired: db_consolidate +
   reconcile_kite run every cycle; actual Console fills are authoritative.

## Process scorecard
- Catalyst-gated ✓ · pullback-LIMIT entry (no chase) ✓ · bracketed on fill ✓ · held to
  plan, zero discretionary cuts ✓ · reconciled to actual Kite ✓ · retro written ✓.
- Both mandatory disciplines (Console reconcile + retro) DONE — the two that were dead 3 weeks.

## Carry into 07-07
- MOTHERSON 55 @ 145.7 (GTT 141.8/155.4). Reassess if it keeps diverging from a strong tape;
  trail to BE+ at 147.65 (+0.5R). Paper MOTHERSON chase open for the swing comparison.
- Dashboard: https://stocks.deemwar.com (real cum +₹132 gross, honest daily table, paper section).